For nearly as long as the modern computer has existed, it has been used to forecast the weather. First used during World War II to simulate (模拟) nuclear weapons, computers were soon adopted to simulate the future state of the atmosphere, creating the modern discipline of weather prediction. Although that discipline has grown ever more complicated and now produces reliable forecasts several weeks in advance, its approach remains the same: using large amounts of calculating power to solve equations (方程).
Over the past year, artificial intelligence (AI) has begun to change that. Tech companies including Google and Nvidia have trained AI models to predict the weather up to 10 days in advance, with an accuracy equaling or even topping traditional models — and with far less calculation overhead. Rather than solving equations, these AI models predict the near future based on patterns learned through training on 40 years of past weather, which is recorded by the traditional model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), the world’s top weather agency. Once trained, the AI models can work out a forecast on a computer in 1 minute rather than taking 2 hours to run on a supercomputer.
ECMWF has already begun to produce its own AI forecast, and other weather agencies are eager to catch up. The new models aren’t perfect. They struggle to predict certain essential features—hurricane intensity, for example. But AI forecasters will only improve as they begin to learn from direct weather observations collected by sensors, not just data already passed through existing models. Besides, their speed could allow agencies to run them over and over, as they capture in the atmosphere the full spread of uncertainty, be it necessary or unnecessary for weather prediction.
No one expects traditional weather prediction to disappear. Another branch, climate models, an extension of weather forecasting, for example, rely on equation solving just as traditional weather models do. But in the long term, the output of climate models may itself become training data for a climate forecasting AI, which might ultimately do a better job than the traditional models.
1. How do AI models predict weather?A.By running on a supercomputer. | B.By recording traditional models. |
C.By working on the existing data. | D.By making massive calculations. |
A.They may be overly operated. | B.They may be slow to respond. |
C.They may confuse natural disasters. | D.They may bring unfair competitions. |
A.They lack accurate data. | B.They need intensive training. |
C.They work in a traditional way. | D.They determine weather forecasting. |
A.How Can AI Aid Atmosphere Study? |
B.Should We Trust AI to Predict Hurricanes? |
C.Weather Forecast Is Having an AI Moment |
D.Tech Giants Are Competing in Data Collection |
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【推荐1】International Weather Forecast (January 18th, 2008)
Paris Weather
Today: Plentiful sunshine. High 59F. Winds NE at 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight: Generally clear. Low near 35F. Winds light and variable.
Tomorrow: A mainly sunny sky. High 59F. Winds ENE at 5 to l0 mph.
Tomorrow night: A mostly clear sky. Low 36F. Winds light and variable.
New York Weather
Today: Cloudy with rain and snow showers Temps nearly steady in the mid 39s.Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Tonight: Rain and snow showers this evening changing to rain showers overnight. Low 34F. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
Tomorrow: Cloudy skies early will become partly cloudy later in the day. High around 45F. Winds WNW at l0 to 20 mph.
Tomorrow night: Partly cloudy early with increasing clouds overnight Low 29F.Winds W at 5 to10 mph.
London Weather
Today: Cloudy and windy. High 56F. Winds WSW at 20 to 30 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy and windy. Low 43F. Winds W at 20 to 30 mph.
Tomorrow: Windy with occasional light rain. High 58F. Winds SW at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 70%.
Tomorrow night: Cloudy and windy. Periods of light rain early. Low 54F. Winds WSW at 20 to 30 mph, Chance of rain 60%.
Sydney Weather
Today: Cloudy with periods of rain. High 73F. Winds NE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70%. Rainfall around a quarter of an inch.
Tonight: Rain. Low near 70F. Winds NNE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70%. Rainfall near a quarter of an inch.
Tomorrow: Showers in the morning with isolated thunderstorms arriving in the afternoon. High 78F. Winds NNE at 5 to10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Tomorrow night: An isolated thunderstorm possible during the evening, then occasional showers overnight. Low near 70F. Winds WNW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
1. Which city has the strongest wind on January 19th?A.Paris. |
B.New York. |
C.London. |
D.Sydney. |
A.the evening of January 18th |
B.the afternoon of January 18th |
C.the morning of January 19th |
D.the afternoon of January 19th |
A.The Eiffel Tower. |
B.Statue of Liberty. |
C.Big Ben. |
D.The Sydney Opera House |
【推荐2】On the morning of June 3, 1944, the day Maureen Flavin Sweeney turned 21, she, as a young worker at Blacksod lighthouse, dispatched a weather report from Blacksod Bay-a bay of the Atlantic Ocean in Erris, forecasting an impending storm from the Atlantic Ocean.
Later that morning she received a phone call from an English woman asking that she “please check…please repeat” the report. Examining the barometer (气压计) again, Maureen confirmed that a storm would indeed hit the English Channel on June 5th. At the time she didn’t know this was the initial date chosen by Allied command (盟军指挥部) for the invasion of Normandy, an operation that required clear skies for air support and calm water to ensure the safety of water-based landing boats. Based on this, US General Dwight D Eisenhower postponed the D-Day landing by 24 hours.
The Sweeney family had been recording the weather every hour throughout the war. They sent their observations to the Irish Met Service in Dublin, which were then forwarded without their knowledge to the headquarters of the Allied Expeditionary Force in England.
This hourly reporting continued until an automatic meteorological (气象的) station was brought into operation in Belmullet in 1956. Only then, in 1956, did Maureen learn about the history-changing. event that their reports had contributed to in 1944.
On June 22, 2021, this 98-year-old Irish woman was presented with an award by the US House of Representatives. “Her skill and professionalism were crucial in ensuring Allied victory, and her spirit will live on for generations to come. While the number of people who died on D-Day was big, it could have been a lot more were it not for the report from her weather station,” wrote Congressman Jack Bergman. Her son, Vincent Sweeney, said his mom was proud of this, but primarily “happy that she got it right”.
1. What does the underlined word “dispatched” in Paragraph 1 mean?A.Read. | B.Checked. | C.Sent. | D.Exchanged. |
A.Doubtful. | B.Accurate. | C.Worthless. | D.Magical. |
A.She worked secretly for it during WWⅡ. |
B.She influenced the course of the war positively. |
C.She helped collect water-based landing boats. |
D.She built the automatic meteorological station. |
A.Her courage in the face of death. |
B.Her feelings about the award. |
C.Her role in winning the campaign. |
D.Her effect on the next generation. |
【推荐3】Weather forecasters in the Philippines got the warning in the second week of November 2020. A forecast that went further into the future than usual warned that the islands faced fierce rains more than three weeks away. The meteorologists(气象学家) reminded local and national governments to spring into action. The governments responded by sending mobile phone messages and broadcast alarms to advise people to prepare to move away from dangerous places to other ones.
By the time the Category 4 Typhoon Kammuri struck the Philippines with heavy rains in early December, the damage was much less than it could have been. “Having so much time to prepare was key,” says Andrew Robertson, a climate scientist at Columbia University. “It’s a great example of how far we’ve come in weather forecasting. But it’s just not enough. We still need to go further,” he says.
Such efforts, known as “subseasonal(次季节的) forecasting”, aim to fill a critical gap in weather prediction. The approach fits between short-term forecasts that are good out to about 10 days in the future and seasonal forecasts that look months ahead.
A subseasonal forecast predicts average weather conditions three to four weeks away. Each day of additional warning gives emergency managers much more time to prepare for incoming heat waves, cold currents, tornadoes or other wild weather. Groups such as the Red Cross are starting to use subseasonal forecasts to strategize for weather disasters, such as figuring out where to move emergency supplies when it looks like a tropical cyclone(气旋) might hit a region. Farmers look to subseasonal forecasts to better plan when to plant and irrigate crops. And operators of dams and the power station could use the information to get ready for extra water that may be soon taxed on the systems.
Subseasonal forecasting is improving slowly but steadily, thanks to better computer models and new insights about the atmospheric and oceanic patterns that drive weather over the long term.
1. What did the Philippine government try to do before fierce rains?A.Persuade citizens to stay at home. | B.Warn citizens against walking around. |
C.Advise citizens to move to some safer places. | D.Warn citizens to focus on the weather forecast. |
A.It is always timely. | B.It still needs improving. |
C.It has caused damage to crops. | D.It shows the perfection of the technology. |
A.Its origin. | B.Its cost. | C.Its warning. | D.Its application. |
A.Subseasonal Forecasting Has Its Disadvantages |
B.Subseasonal Forecasting Could Improve Lifestyle |
C.Subseasonal Forecasting Could Save Lives from Disasters |
D.Subseasonal Forecasting Has an Effect on Farming |
【推荐1】In recent years, China’s second-hand economy has been growing steadily. One second-hand book platform by the name of Duozhuayu, meaning catching more fish, has gained a lot of followers in just a few years. Here at the book store in Beijing, bookworms are filling up the space for books still in good condition and also at reduced prices. The company operates with a model of buying, repairing, sterilizing (消毒) and selling used books.
Their service has caused more young Chinese to cast away old thinking of refusing used things and to explore the value of used things. “For second-hand items, people used to think they are of low quality. But the kind of second-hand items that truly circulates (传播) well is of high-quality. Books belong to that category. Here we believe that truly valuable items are worth buying twice,” Chen Tuo, co-founder of the company said.
The company hopes for a win-win situation in the market, where buyers could deal with used books more conveniently and buyers could buy them cheaply. The sharing of books also means more choices for readers than those offered by regular bookstores. According to Chen Tuo, the bookstore also has a feature online that allows customers to put a particular book on demand, and the system will inform you if it becomes available.
The store relies heavily on data that keep records of books being accepted or refused. “From sales data in the past year, we’ve observed that books about psychology, finance and self management were among the most popular while books related to tourism didn’t sell that well. These data really help us make better decisions,” Chen said.
In a society where traditional books face competition from e-books, the bookstore hopes to popularize physical books, and to improve customer experience. Now with two offline stores in Beijing and Shanghai, the bookstore is adding more second-hand items to their lists, including kindles and clothing. The company says recycling is not just for economy, but for a lifestyle worth trying.
1. What can we learn about Duozhuayu in paragraph 1?A.It sells fish products. | B.It is becoming popular. |
C.It is a newly-built bookstore. | D.It mainly serves young people. |
A.Understand. | B.Develop. | C.Compare. | D.Quit. |
A.They can tell which books are the best. | B.They show how often people visit it. |
C.They reflect people’s reading preferences. | D.They can make decisions for the owners. |
A.Second-hand book platform brings new life to used books |
B.Second-hand book platform is faced with a difficult situation |
C.Second-hand book platform is changing people’s reading habits |
D.Second-hand book platform meets the needs of different readers |
【推荐2】Cloud computing will be in use by about 80 percent of about 600 companies. The trend suggests that data management and storage are moving to cloud computing sellers on a large scale.
Touting(兜售)cloud computing as a way to get rid of the costs of buying and maintain in on-site information-technology equipment, sellers offer it in the form of Software AsA. Service(SAAS), a delivery model in which software applications are delivered to customers over a web-based network. SAAS can serve the needs of entire companies through huge, web-based platforms. As cloud computing rapidly bccomes the delivery channel for software developers of all shapes and sizes to get their products to market, offering applications in a cloud is now the rule not the exception. A. relatively small number of sellers are able to offer SAAS to big companies that want company-wide cloud computing, and only the sellers need apply. Although market-share data are hard to come by, the list of company’s large enough to offer cloud-computing on this scale is short: Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Salesforce, Rackspace and not many others.
The concentration of data and virtual (虚拟)computing in the hands of relatively few sellers raises an important risk for their customers if the Internet-based systems of any one seller are hacked, the result could be security problems across entire industries in which their customers do
Can this small group of cloud-computing sellers effectively respond to the needs of their customers to quickly fix such a problem and, most importantly, cut off the damage to these companies' own customers? Don't think such things can't happen. If hackers can penetrate the Department of Defense, the risk that they will penetrate Microsoft or google cannot be ruled out Compromise of just one of these sellers---even one with a modest market share---possibly could shut down, at least temporarily, a sizable part of the U. S. economy.
1. What can cloud computing do?A.Reduce the cost of computers. |
B.Provide software service. |
C.Market various products. |
D.Help companies design websites. |
A.It works under SAAS. |
B.It covers a large part of market-share. |
C.Most companies can provide it. |
D.Most sellers apply for it. |
A.To warn people of the hackers' power. |
B.To show relationship between it and microsoft. |
C.To give an example of the country's loss. |
D.To present the real picture of the U.S.economy. |
A.The Unthinkable risks of the cloud. |
B.Cloud Computing and Smart Sellers. |
C.SAAS and changing Companies. |
D.The Cloud Computing Age. |
【推荐3】The State of Colorado has four of the best parks out of the 58 national parks in the United States. The parks have some of the best scenery of all the national parks.
Black Canyon (峡谷) of the Gunnison National Park
This park offers the most breathtaking views from up in the mountains into the canyons below. While exploring the canyons, you will find that the walls drop nearly straight down into the narrow valleys of the snake-like rivers below. Visitors are offered more than 100 camping sites, and a lot of bird species and many animals are native to the area.
Rocky Mountain National Park
It is the only national park in the north central region in the State of Colorado. Elevations in this park are anywhere from 8,000 feet to 14,259 feet at the top of Longs Peak. While traveling throughout this park you will notice there are two very different climates because of the difference the upper peaks of the Rocky Mountains make. You can enjoy 359 miles of hiking trails, a lot of places for camping, horse-back riding and beautiful scenery.
Mesa Verde National Park
This is probably the most interesting national park, offering a fascinating trip back in time to 600 AD up to 1300 AD. This park was declared a protected national park in 1906 because of the cliff dwellings (住所) that were found throughout the area, which were once home to American Indians. Many of these dwellings can be walked through, while you imagine what each room may have been used for so many years ago.
Great Sand Dunes (沙丘) National Park
The Great Sand Dunes National Park lies in South-Central Colorado, about 127 miles from Pueblo. This park has the tallest sand dunes in all of North America and has trails for hiking. The natural sandy beaches around the small rivers and lakes are good for swimmers.
1. Which of the following is TRUE about the Rocky Mountain National Park?A.It has the tallest mountains in the USA. | B.It has two very different weather conditions. |
C.It is the most interesting national park. | D.It is about 359 miles from Pueblo. |
A.The Rocky Mountain National Park. | B.The Black Canyon of the Gunnison National Park. |
C.The Great Sand Dunes National Park. | D.The Mesa Verde National Park. |
A.Beautiful canyons. | B.Longs Peak. | C.Cliff dwellings. | D.Sand dunes. |
【推荐1】Recently, more than 1,000 researchers and executives signed an open letter calling for a pause in research on artificial intelligence. The letter warns that AI may threaten jobs, spread propaganda (宣传), and even lead to the “loss of control of our civilization”.
Many of the signatories (签署者) are thoughtful and experienced AI practitioners. Their concerns should be taken seriously. On balance, though, their approach is likely to evolve into an opposition to progress.
Consider the broader worldview expressed in this document. It said, “Powerful AI systems should be developed only once we are confident that their effects will be positive and risks manageable. ” This is a formula for complete stop, as no one can ever be so confident. The history of innovation is one of trial and error, risk and reward. One reason why the US leads the world in digital technology is that it did not constrain the industry with well-meaning but doubtful regulation. Slowing AI progress, moreover, carries risks all its own. Don’t forget that this technology is likely to make the world richer, healthier, smarter and more productive for decades to come. By 2030, it might be contributing more than $15 trillion to the global economy. Advances in medicine, biology, climate science, education, manufacturing, transportation and much more are on the horizon. Any new rules must be balanced against the vast potential of these efforts.
Nor is AI research advancing into a void (空白领域). The industry already operates within legal parameters (范畴) in response to potential harms. Companies have ensured their products are safe. Trade associations are developing codes of conduct and ethical frameworks. Far from the “out-of-control race”, the AI business is constrained by law and politics and consumer sentiment.
It’s natural to worry about new technologies. But the wealth and abundance of American society is due in no small part to risks taken in the past, in a spirit of openness and optimism. The AI revolution deserves no less.
1. Why did the researchers and executives sign the open letter?A.Because the research on AI had been paused. |
B.Because AI had uncontrollably destroyed human civilization. |
C.Because they were worried about the potential risks of AI. |
D.Because they were more experienced than others in AI field. |
A.To support that innovation comes from taking risks. |
B.To stress that the US is very important in the digital field. |
C.To draw attention to the benefits of well-meaning regulations. |
D.To reveal those people’s real purpose of signing the letter. |
A.AI technology consumes more money than it can earn. |
B.Society will hugely benefit from AI technology in the future. |
C.The AI industry is now developing without any restrictions. |
D.The development of AI technology is just a solo effort. |
A.Doubtful. | B.Supportive. | C.Neutral. | D.Indifferent. |
【推荐2】An amazing human-like robot that had been programmed to socially interact with human companions tricked people into thinking that the machine had independent ideas of its own, according to a new study. The robot named “iCub” is a child-size human-like robot created by the Italian Institute of Technology to study social interactions between humans and robots. Standing 3.6 feet tall, iCub with camera eyes can complete complex tasks and imitate (模仿) human behaviors.
In the new study, researchers programmed iCub to interact with human participants as they watched a series of short videos. The participants were divided into two groups. In one trial, involving Group 1, iCub was programmed to behave in a human-like manner, greeting participants as they entered the room, and reacting to videos with sounds of joy, surprise, etc. In the other trial, involving Group 2, iCub’s programming directed it to behave more like a machine, ignoring nearby humans and merely making typical robotic beeping sounds.
The researchers found that people who were exposed to the more human-like version of iCub were more likely to view it with a perspective (视角) known as “the intentional stance”, meaning they believed that the robot had its own thoughts and desires, while those who were exposed to the less human-like version of iCub viewed it as just a programmed robot. The researchers had expected that this would happen but were “very surprised” by how well it worked. “The iCub robot does have a limited capacity to “learn” like a neural (神经的) network, but it is far from being self-aware”, the researchers said.
“These findings show that humans can form social connections with robots. This could have implications for the use of robots in healthcare, especially for elderly patients”, the researchers said. “However, there is still much to learn about human-robot interactions and social bonding. The research in this field requires thousands of experiments and social recognition, so there is a long way to go”, Professor Ann Williams warned.
1. What’s the purpose of the iCub robot trial?A.To draw people’s attention to the Italian Institute of Technology. |
B.To study social interactions between humans and robots. |
C.To show how iCub reacts to people’s different behaviors. |
D.To trick people into thinking robots have independent ideas. |
A.It has self-awareness. |
B.It is just an AI robot. |
C.It is far from being intelligent. |
D.It is quite capable of communicating. |
A.They could pose a threat to social bonding. |
B.They will urge people to form social connections. |
C.They may have practical applications in daily life. |
D.They will accelerate the process of human-robot communication. |
A.Pessimistic. | B.Cautious. | C.Uncaring. | D.Doubtful. |
【推荐3】Theo works day and night in the tulip (郁金香) fields in the Netherlands and never complains of sore muscles. How is this possible?
Theo is an artificial intelligence, or AI, robot that looks for diseased flowers each spring. The work prevents viruses from spreading among the valuable plants. The robot looks for troubled tulip bulbs and des troys them if necessary. They are removed from the healthy ones in a processing center after the harvest.
There are 45 robots like Theo working in the tulip fields of the Netherlands. Their work becomes important as the winter turns to spring and peak season nears. People come from around the world to see the colorful flowers.
Allan Visser’s family has been growing tulips for three generations. This is the second season that he has used a robot. He said it is very expensive—the same as a sports car—about $200,000. In the past, knowledgeable farmers would walk the fields looking for tulips that showed signs of sickness.
“I prefer to have the robot because a sports car doesn’t take out the sick tulips from our field,” he said, “Yeah, it is expensive, but there are less and less people who can really see the sick tulips.”
The robot has been trained to detect the sick plants. Red stripes show up on the leaves of infected plants. Rolling slowly through the fields at about one kilometer per hour, the robots search for sick tulips. Visser explained that the robot has cameras and takes thousands of photos of the tulips. And then, the AI software considers the photos and decides which tulips need to be killed.
H2L Robotics is the company that makes the robots. Erik de Jong is the managing director. He said all of the knowledge they use in the computer program that informs the robot comes from tulip farmers like Theo van der Voort. He is the farmer that the robot is named after.
Van der Voort retired after 52 years of looking for sick flowers in his fields. “It’s fantastic,” he said, “It sees just as much as I see.”
1. What can we infer from Visser’s words?A.The robot has strong muscles. | B.The robot is costly but beneficial. |
C.He fails to employ expert farmers. | D.He has a strong desire for a luxury car. |
A.How the robot operates. | B.How much the robot costs. |
C.How fast the robot moves. | D.What the robot is made of. |
A.Skeptical. | B.Tolerant. | C.Disapproving. | D.Enthusiastic. |
A.An Intelligent “Farmer” | B.An Imaginary Robot |
C.An Innovative Company | D.An Expert Surgeon |