![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
年份代号 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
宣传费(千元) | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 10 |
销量(千件) | 30 | 40 | 60 | 50 | 70 | |
利润(千元) | 40 | 70 | 110 | 90 | 160 | 205 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
(2)若利润与宣传费的比值不低于20的年份称为“吉祥年”,在这6个年份中任意选2个年份,求这2个年份均为“吉祥年”的概率
附:回归方程
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/1db6103cb0f1d2bd6b19235d53ee7e98.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/85438d34923ede70c651618a5e43a9cb.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/a58291bd91befe1061530246da983727.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/c85481cd7e94130ef3aa05b4a39e79cd.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/923d80da4a6cb5f102be334006d875a7.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/97ea8f47d8d8d9e1832d52b1c7425450.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4de122ae929b1acaff321dec137622ed.png)
月份 | 2023.11 | 2023.12 | 2024.01 | 2024.02 | 2024.03 |
月份编号x | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
利润(y万元) | 27 | 23 | 20 | 17 | 13 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/8d81c547285535b686ff1713be668e0c.png)
(2)从这5个月的利润中任选2个月的利润,分别记为m,n,求事件“m,n均不小于20万元”的概率.
附:参考数据:
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f1aa979ed410c59170c6e55e96d40c33.png)
相关系数
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/6be3ab96c035d1d6615b0f119280be1b.png)
苹果箱种类 | A | B | C | D |
每箱利润(元) | 40 | 50 | 60 | 70 |
苹果单个质量区间 | [100,140) | [140,180) | [180,220) | [220,260] |
(2)在甲、乙、丙、丁中随机抽取2户,求这2户中恰有1户2022年土地流转收益超过2万元的概率.
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/97ea8f47d8d8d9e1832d52b1c7425450.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f8e44f9908e42b5a5b1838fc20969704.png)
150 | 525 | 1800 | 1200 |
![](https://img.xkw.com/dksih/QBM/editorImg/2023/1/15/923a09d8-c6dd-4ee0-82f7-d585aef56d0a.png?resizew=310)
根据散点图判断,发现年销售量y(万件)关于年营销费用x(万元)之间可以用
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/ce3a7d89965c094792f87594bd68afd2.png)
(1)求y关于x的回归方程;
(2)从该产品的流水线上随机抽取100件产品,统计其质量指标值并绘制频率分布直方图:规定产品的质量指标值在
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f3cebcf88e22ba150498cb3fb00a79e4.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/9aa309485eb0b1817c52ab75a52f6a3d.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/973e00aa2cd62d4694bc5fcaa16cd807.png)
![](https://img.xkw.com/dksih/QBM/editorImg/2023/1/15/86f18dff-4f85-4b48-ac26-5d6dc7e751e3.png?resizew=299)
附:①收益=销售利润-营销费用;
②对于一组数据
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/cdfdfe8d53069dda8eb532b55f802822.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/ce3a7d89965c094792f87594bd68afd2.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/183200de4ff08be4eb636e8169c099a2.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/a58291bd91befe1061530246da983727.png)
5 . 某超市计划按月订购一种酸奶,每天进货量相同,进货成本每瓶4元,售价每瓶6元,未售出的酸奶降价处理,以每瓶2元的价格当天全部处理完.根据往年销售经验,每天需求量与当天最高气温(单位:℃)有关.如果最高气温不低于25,需求量为500瓶;如果最高气温位于区间[20,25),需求量为300瓶;如果最高气温低于20,需求量为200瓶.为了确定六月份的订购计划,统计了前三年六月份各天的最高气温数据,得下面的频数分布表:
最高气温 | [10,15) | [15,20) | [20,25) | [25,30) | [30,35) | [35,40) |
天数 | 2 | 16 | 36 | 25 | 7 | 4 |
以最高气温位于各区间的频率估计最高气温位于该区间的概率.
(1)求六月份这种酸奶一天的需求量不超过300瓶的概率;
(2)设六月份一天销售这种酸奶的利润为Y(单位:元),当六月份这种酸奶一天的进货量为450瓶时,写出Y的所有可能值,并估计Y大于零的概率.
机器类型 | 第一类 | 第二类 | 第三类 | 第四类 | 第五类 |
销售总额(万元) | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
销售量(台) | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
利润率 | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
(Ⅰ)从该公司本月卖出的机器中随机选一台,求这台机器利润率高于0.2的概率;
(Ⅱ)从该公司本月卖出的销售单价为20万元的机器中随机选取
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/61128ab996360a038e6e64d82fcba004.png)
(Ⅲ)假设每类机器利润率不变,销售一台第一类机器获利
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/c814128ea2139e33db94ea590e7c2223.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/aec19b68e3add9d5bfcc6269a1855b87.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/ee9b42973c53907f09f2de384c42fc5f.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/60fcebe69f231fd83aaeb148e77b1504.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/cd0c4c71089ffa8b2d6c7a58848325c4.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/60fcebe69f231fd83aaeb148e77b1504.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/c85481cd7e94130ef3aa05b4a39e79cd.png)
![](https://img.xkw.com/dksih/QBM/2018/12/4/2089372188729344/2090245921300480/STEM/06265efaa9c04c718acceb06262809e9.png?resizew=503)
(I)以此频率作为概率,试估计黄河济南段在8月份发生I级灾害的概率;
(Ⅱ)黄河济南段某企业,在8月份,若没受1、2级灾害影响,利润为500万元;若受1级灾害影响,则亏损100万元;若受2级灾害影响则亏损1000万元.
现此企业有如下三种应对方案:
![](https://img.xkw.com/dksih/QBM/2018/12/4/2089372188729344/2090245921300480/STEM/1171855c19344f6f8fbcc2d1c5d279b8.png?resizew=539)
试问,如仅从利润考虑,该企业应选择这三种方案中的哪种方案?说明理由.
年份 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
年宣传费x(万元) | 38 | 48 | 58 | 68 | 78 | 88 |
年销售量y(吨) | 16.8 | 18.8 | 20.7 | 22.4 | 24.0 | 25.5 |
经电脑模拟,发现年宣传费x(万元)与年销售量y(吨)之间近似满足关系式y=a•xb(a,b>0),即lny=blnx+lna.,对上述数据作了初步处理,得到相关的值如下表:
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
75.3 | 24.6 | 18.3 | 101.4 |
(Ⅰ)从表中所给出的6年年销售量数据中任选2年做年销售量的调研,求所选数据中至多有一年年销售量低于20吨的概率.
(Ⅱ)根据所给数据,求
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
(Ⅲ) 若生产该产品的固定成本为200(万元),且每生产1(吨)产品的生产成本为20(万元)(总成本=固定成本+生产成本+年宣传费),销售收入为
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/e4d9e808fecb84e98fb57bf19c19815e.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/2b9a98a2289245cd0635cb70e4fb2aa5.png)
附:对于一组数据
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/57f048cb88668ff3f562051eea9b466d.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f3bb0d6bbe1dc6abc72bc72a880960b7.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/03f742bbfa1de456fa9d87d704a30e22.png)