![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b1010846eeec6c9da29640f5aa3f8738.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4ae7fb954b47cb67fdde891c3b9d8295.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/20c11f6c800b8e0410674a0c6d307d26.png)
(1)假设每道题甲全部选对的概率为
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f89eef3148f2d4d09379767b4af69132.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/56d266a04f3dc7483eddbc26c5e487db.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/56d266a04f3dc7483eddbc26c5e487db.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/5e6486784415f3537c9a13556c05d893.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f89eef3148f2d4d09379767b4af69132.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4dac452fbb5ef6dd653e7fbbef639484.png)
(2)对于第12题,甲同学只能正确地判断出其中的一个选项是符合题意的,乙同学只能正确地判断出其中的一个选项是不符合题意的,作答时,应选择几个选项才有希望得到更理想的成绩,请你帮助甲或者乙做出决策(只需选择帮助一人做出决策即可).
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
6 | 11 | 21 | 34 | 66 | 101 | 196 |
![](https://img.xkw.com/dksih/QBM/2020/7/23/2512194899066880/2512282700079104/STEM/9f1f9819-5674-4455-8556-a8017badb3ae.png?resizew=244)
观察散点图,两个变量不具有线性相关关系,现考虑用对数函数模型
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d67cb2e70b94da2d7d63193b85b67b08.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/9a3edbe89f552dd6cfd1abd462eef371.png)
(1)根据散点图判断,
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d67cb2e70b94da2d7d63193b85b67b08.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/9a3edbe89f552dd6cfd1abd462eef371.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/071a7e733d466949ac935b4b8ee8d183.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/5c02bc0c74292b1e8f395f90935d3174.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
(2)根据(1)的判断结果及表1中的数据,建立
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
(3)已知每件产品的原料成本为10元,若该产品的总成本不得高于123470元,请估计最多能生产多少千件产品.
参考数据:
62.14 | 1.54 | 2535 | 50.12 | 3.47 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/39ff66375b8e2c21f2695655cd804782.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b3ce38a38bc80c9197c1b00b84c8743e.png)
参考公式:对于一组数据
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/aaf1c6aadc0129bf86f4fff9dcfb924b.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/154100371e025fffe0ffae8be9567383.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/6a14e40329de36fc4a1a3f8fbfafda12.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f27e98f5555089692253c0c3f2ec0d92.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/74f38451023eaad524140b4ba939c375.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/10a21112ac5c089fb55fb5f3e2a0e8f7.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/5963abe8f421bd99a2aaa94831a951e9.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f9779ef5980d39d26bd92e4c504e86ae.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b8a45b7219cca4854895e9662e4fd1eb.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
(2)已知每辆单车的购入成本为
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/90dd550e1ad9bbf01687ffb4aab788ec.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4646418552dc060ebda1232361a01295.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/bdaa19de263700a15fcf213d64a8cd57.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/6afcc28435321cee7c7f7b10ce0d0d47.png)
参考数据:其中
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/39ff66375b8e2c21f2695655cd804782.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b3ce38a38bc80c9197c1b00b84c8743e.png)
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/56720e2f2b0ddd72156da495923698da.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/2852ae85cfcc804b3192ea8543c88938.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/92abae836b8026511113ad8c3ea23028.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/a58291bd91befe1061530246da983727.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/19fd5c176273101c65c27f34d405f7ff.png)
4 . 某纺织厂为了生产一种高端布料,准备从A农场购进一批优质棉花,厂方技术员从A农场存储的优质棉花中随机抽取了100处棉花,分别测量了其纤维长度(单位:mm)的均值,收集到100个样本数据,并制成如下频数分布表:
长度(单位:mm) | [23,25) | [25,27) | [27,29) | [29,31) | [31,33) | [33,35) | [35,37) | [37,39] |
频数 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 5 |
(1)求这100个样本数据的平均数
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/c85481cd7e94130ef3aa05b4a39e79cd.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/671f43c79d612c93a6d160335e86e177.png)
(2)将收集到的数据绘成直方图可以认为这批棉花的纤维长度服从分布
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/1290917c2c835b61384480b335cc1d13.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/594f4ea0d5f4a741355161af9eb34104.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/48d1316cf501a47b6d75594091d5f4a4.png)
①利用正态分布,求;
②纺织厂将A农场送来的这批优质棉进行二次检验,从中随机抽取20处测量其纤维均值yi(i=1,2…,20),数据如下:
y1 | y2 | y3 | y4 | y5 | y6 | y7 | y8 | y9 | y10 |
24.1 | 31.8 | 32.7 | 28.2 | 28.4 | 34.3 | 29.1 | 34.8 | 37.2 | 30.8 |
y11 | y12 | y13 | y14 | y15 | y16 | y17 | y18 | y19 | y20 |
30.6 | 25.2 | 32.9 | 27.1 | 35.9 | 28.9 | 33.9 | 29.5 | 35.0 | 29.9 |
若20个样本中纤维均值的频率不低于①中
即可判断该批优质棉花合格,否则认为农场运送时掺杂了次品,判断该批棉花不合格.按照此依据判断A农场送来的这批棉花是否为合格的优质棉花,并说明理由.
附:若,则
,
,
天数x | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
抗体含量水平y | 5 | 10 | 26 | 50 | 96 | 195 |
![](https://img.xkw.com/dksih/QBM/editorImg/2022/11/28/5c434b92-e8ea-4036-af2c-f9df3df4c0d6.png?resizew=199)
(1)根据散点图判断,
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/8b8b436f21307e26f87963d0e653fff0.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4db1eeb94bd93c158cd90dadd4bcd37c.png)
(2)根据(1)的判断结果求出y关于x的回归方程,并预测该志愿者在注射疫苗后的第10天的抗体含量水平值;
(3)从这位志愿者的前6天的检测数据中随机抽取3天的数据作进一步的分析,求其中的y值小于50的天数X的分布列及数学期望.
参考数据:其中
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/1a7df4aa3f42a2c8d7f1f4c11c5dddde.png)
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
3.50 | 63.67 | 3.49 | 17.50 | 9.49 | 12.95 | 519.01 | 4023.87 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/8254e5a17af8bf57847832fccf3e86c8.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/e305ef27729a10ab9de0318e5374d406.png)
![](https://img.xkw.com/dksih/QBM/editorImg/2023/6/18/ff38ec11-9220-43ce-aa68-a4a4f5bb2c5c.png?resizew=281)
(1)如图1所示的高尔顿板有5层小木块,小球从通道口落下,第一次与第2层中间的小木块儿碰撞,等可能向左或向右滚下,依次经过4次与小木块儿碰撞,最后掉入编号为1,2,3,4,5的球槽里. 现在进行一次高尔顿板实验,求小球落入3号球槽的概率;
(2)在学校组织的爱心义卖活动中,李明和王华利用高尔顿板进行盈利型“爱心抽奖”,进行一次高尔顿板实验,就是参加了一次抽奖.
①李明用如图1所示高尔顿板,同学们每付费5元即可抽奖一次. 小球落入第
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f0a532e15e232cb4b99a8d4d07c89575.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/5b734e8f1546481e3eb4976008a045de.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d24bce7268e322eb8cdc302c5504dcf2.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/5b734e8f1546481e3eb4976008a045de.png)
②王华用如图2所示的高尔顿板,同学们每付费5.5元即可抽奖一次. 小球落入第
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f0a532e15e232cb4b99a8d4d07c89575.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d5c1116ce7f5a1a7b57517276d5092fa.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/9054a6e54509fa07ad734ca762c6bd97.png)
年份 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
编号x | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
企业总数量y(单位:千个) | 2.156 | 3.727 | 8.305 | 24.279 | 36.224 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d6a5b1c19e4c57f1d259f8269e551c64.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/cf4057e429061267ca284cf0882fbaf2.png)
(2)根据(1)的结果,求
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
附:线性回归方程
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/1db6103cb0f1d2bd6b19235d53ee7e98.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/833b0fa3122756d3cbeef4b8d1d156cc.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/a58291bd91befe1061530246da983727.png)
参考数据:
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/42ada85497d843df7509c5b601e8cf6a.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/0c053a3c804e98a68b732704304b1440.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d00d0a8af3772f6be4991b58b09d4632.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/1c2e5cb74992160976bdd53bbe41818b.png)
(3)为了促进公司间的合作与发展,区块链联合总部决定进行一次信息化技术比赛,邀请甲、乙、丙三家区块链公司参赛,比赛规则如下:①每场比赛有两个公司参加,并决出胜负;②每场比赛获胜的公司与未参加此场比赛的公司进行下一场的比赛;③在比赛中,若有一个公司首先获胜两场,则本次比赛结束,该公司就获得此次信息化比赛的“优胜公司”.已知在每场比赛中,甲胜乙的概率为
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4dac452fbb5ef6dd653e7fbbef639484.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/eac97e6740365c85ad857aff85cefbe5.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f89eef3148f2d4d09379767b4af69132.png)
![](https://img.xkw.com/dksih/QBM/editorImg/2022/12/30/3e95e72c-c22e-4007-af5a-db357c99700a.png?resizew=440)
女性用户 | 分值区间 | [50,60) | [60,70) | [70,80) | [80,90) | [90,100] |
频数 | 20 | 40 | 80 | 50 | 10 | |
男性用户 | 分值区间 | [50,60) | [60,70) | [70,80) | [80,90) | [90,100] |
频数 | 45 | 75 | 90 | 60 | 30 |
(2)把评分不低于70分的用户称为“评分良好用户”,完成下列列联表,并判断能否有
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/28b4b06478c218a0e3421f8c52427c8b.png)
女性用户 | 男性用户 | 合计 | |
“认可”手机 | |||
“不认可”手机 | |||
合计 |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/2b9cfccce8c0c707a066f9c7d3f3e2e1.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/356b05e46b10ee51c3e43546d73ec96c.png)
女性 用户 | 分值区间 | [50,60) | [60,70) | [70,80) | [80,90) | [90,100] |
频数 | 20 | 40 | 80 | 50 | 10 | |
男性 用户 | 分值区间 | [50,60) | [60,70) | [70,80) | [80,90) | [90,100] |
频数 | 45 | 75 | 90 | 60 | 30 |
![](https://img.xkw.com/dksih/QBM/editorImg/2022/12/12/04aea389-31d3-4d91-b87f-53e6d906bc36.png?resizew=514)
(2)把评分不低于70分的用户称为“评分良好用户”,能否有
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/28b4b06478c218a0e3421f8c52427c8b.png)
参考公式及数据:
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/3bc485c58dbd6e50bfb352030f4a1c42.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/356b05e46b10ee51c3e43546d73ec96c.png)
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/a0c18135a8870443c859dbfc13bb7de1.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/cc1a3b14b0cb25f19321fd91e43bf22e.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/8e3617671ab9daae844ca0a46066fe7a.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b98a75b8c88662e1b1d5f3f5e24218df.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/a0ebe884c114716cdd2aea6d31ae608c.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/8e3617671ab9daae844ca0a46066fe7a.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f8f77512d2913646c201ebf7ffbf6e0f.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/2f772af26f1faf711adc085e7bd5123b.png)
(1)可以根据模型①得到2022年全国普通本科招生数的预测值为597.88万人,请你分别利用模型②③,求2022年全国普通本科招生数的预测值;
(2)你认为用哪个模型得到的预测值更可靠?说明理由(写出一个即可).