![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/46b4829b8c04f68d08b4272f1e5b7d0c.png)
![](https://img.xkw.com/dksih/QBM/editorImg/2024/6/19/0aaac424-3688-4c46-9668-42819e4498f9.png?resizew=165)
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
5.5 | 8.7 | 1.9 | 301 | 385 | 79.75 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/db7179f49001d08c5011a1dcbfdc7930.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4beaf3d206d85e2e6c8d25ab79b62e1c.png)
(1)依据散点图推断,
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/33b447ac3d1a965572c31b6e4c18d4b8.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/56a9622a53d958999eecaefc85597b52.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
(2)依据(1)的结果和上表中的数据求出
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
(3)为了解佩戴头盔情况与性别的关联性,交警对该路口骑电动摩托车市民进行调查,得到如下列联表:
性别 | 佩戴头盔 | 合计 | |
不佩戴 | 佩戴 | ||
女性 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
男性 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
合计 | 22 | 18 | 40 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/29f81f285940b14b97f368469121efab.png)
参考公式:
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/07c226c805bf76bc0ad35c45806feb73.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/a58291bd91befe1061530246da983727.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b38cfee12dbeeab57c707dca8643538a.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/356b05e46b10ee51c3e43546d73ec96c.png)
![]() | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.025 | 0.010 | 0.005 | 0.001 |
![]() | 2.072 | 2.706 | 3.841 | 5.024 | 6.635 | 7.879 | 10.828 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/2dc3b431bcf6be3bcdd51a7d80c79c0e.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/7e90d4e85b222d6be93f03bfef2565f2.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/685a543ec7c3929c24b644ebe5c78c55.png)
![]() | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 20 |
![]() | 2 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 63 | 101 |
A.使用回归模型一拟合的决定系数![]() ![]() |
B.通过模型二得出的经验回归方程的预报效果好于通过模型一得出的经验回归方程 |
C.在首例病例出现后45天,该传染病感染人数很有可能在200人左右 |
D.在首例病例出现后45天,该传染病的感染人数很有可能超过10000人 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/9331944645ed52340897b03c4ca4e387.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![]() | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 |
![]() | 200 | 298 | 431 | 609 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
经验回归方程①:
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d911ec5ea8316c34058601b248687b75.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/8eb39cb146fbd0b7a1efc1bbaee3517f.png)
其中经验回归方程①的残差图如图所示(残差
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/6706fe00b4e231e62d9ecbec567d526b.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4bfc339cf6dd66599db64fa3fa44e608.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
![]() | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 |
![]() | 200 | 298 | 431 | 609 |
![]() |
(2)从该企业在过去几年生产的该产品中随机抽取100件,优等品有60件,合格品有40件.每件优等品利润为20万元,每件合格品利润为15万元.若视频率为概率,该企业某月计划生产12件该产品,记优等品件数为
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f022950e0faa45b617d497b01b5292b9.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/54a829fdd8ec0f3b7ede883cf2c3e53b.png)
(ⅰ)求
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/54a829fdd8ec0f3b7ede883cf2c3e53b.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f022950e0faa45b617d497b01b5292b9.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/3b0919cf56a1b743189a019551b2d5a0.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/0b0bd6753e573bfbe6742d08ef6dfe83.png)
(ⅱ)记该月的成本利润率
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b1010846eeec6c9da29640f5aa3f8738.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b1010846eeec6c9da29640f5aa3f8738.png)
附:成本利润率
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/c2db54470411f1dcb192c4a57ce13d34.png)
时间/年 | 主要飓风数量 | |
1921—1930 | 1 | 17 |
1931—1940 | 2 | 16 |
1941—1950 | 3 | 29 |
1951—1960 | 4 | 33 |
1961—1970 | 5 | 27 |
1971—1980 | 6 | 16 |
1981—1990 | 7 | 16 |
1991—2000 | 8 | 27 |
2001—2010 | 9 | 33 |
(2)借助图象,尝试求出形如正弦型函数
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/1e89ee59ead971eef5c3406b8d49a57f.png)
(3)使用数学软件找到最佳拟合的正弦型函数.
年份 | GDP/亿元 | 年份 | GDP/亿元 |
1997 | 79715.0 | 2002 | 121717.4 |
1998 | 85195.5 | 2003 | 137422.0 |
1999 | 90564.4 | 2004 | 161840.2 |
2000 | 100280.1 | 2005 | 187318.9 |
2001 | 110863.1 | 2006 | 219438.5 |
(2)建立年份为解释变量,GDP为响应变量的一元线性回归模型,并计算残差;
(3)根据你得到的一元线性回归模型,预测2017年的GDP,看看你的预测值与实际的GDP的误差是多少?(2017年GDP的实际值为
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/07730c33e50212b01e4754c4ee6ad7f3.png)
(4)你认为这个模型能较好地刻画GDP和年份的关系吗?请说明理由
(5)随着时间的发展,又收集到2007~2016年的GDP数据如下:
年份 | GDP/亿元 | 年份 | GDP/亿元 |
2007 | 270232.3 | 2012 | 540367.4 |
2008 | 319515.5 | 2013 | 595244.4 |
2009 | 349081.4 | 2014 | 643974.0 |
2010 | 413030.3 | 2015 | 689052.1 |
2011 | 489300.6 | 2016 | 744127.2 |
家庭编号 | 家庭人均月收入x/元 | 家庭人均消费量y/元 |
1 | 5432 | 6.32 |
2 | 2336 | 3.52 |
3 | 3944 | 6.32 |
4 | 4656 | 21.60 |
5 | 9246 | 29.12 |
6 | 17512 | 76.00 |
7 | 8776 | 41.72 |
8 | 16624 | 54.80 |
9 | 14544 | 46.72 |
10 | 13600 | 41.68 |
11 | 5976 | 26.00 |
12 | 13144 | 25.28 |
13 | 3312 | 4.00 |
14 | 2832 | 1.36 |
15 | 10208 | 15.04 |
16 | 5960 | 6.16 |
17 | 3480 | 11.12 |
18 | 4320 | 4.48 |
19 | 6992 | 12.48 |
20 | 12344 | 42.24 |
21 | 8232 | 5.12 |
22 | 5680 | 32.00 |
23 | 6696 | 33.60 |
24 | 13984 | 39.04 |
25 | 11048 | 27.84 |
26 | 10040 | 21.04 |
27 | 14216 | 39.92 |
28 | 2960 | 4.72 |
29 | 9040 | 38.32 |
30 | 3704 | 4.08 |
31 | 6160 | 13.92 |
32 | 5792 | 32.80 |
33 | 6464 | 31.52 |
34 | 6320 | 6.68 |
35 | 6264 | 26.32 |
36 | 3248 | 3.52 |
37 | 9936 | 25.92 |
38 | 5264 | 17.12 |
39 | 13968 | 45.68 |
40 | 3744 | 5.12 |
41 | 8912 | 15.20 |
42 | 3304 | 4.08 |
43 | 14296 | 66.64 |
44 | 11960 | 40.88 |
45 | 12208 | 31.44 |
(2)计算y与x的相关系数;
(3)试分析研究y与x之间的线性回归关系.
10名高中男生的身高与体重如下表:
编号 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
身高/cm | 174 | 176 | 176 | 181 | 182 | 179 | 169 | 168 | 171 | 180 |
体重/kg | 55 | 58 | 62 | 74 | 88 | 68 | 54 | 52 | 56 | 86 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/6be3ab96c035d1d6615b0f119280be1b.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/42fb3283723e2ba9659e272c0fe09464.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/a87796ee30e6c5d5e6b6285b32abe10c.png)
豆类 | 黄豆 | 豇豆 | 青毛豆 | 豌豆(鲜) | 四季豆 |
脂肪含量/kg | 0.0184 | 0.0002 | 0.0057 | 0.0003 | 0.0004 |
热量/kJ | 1726 | 108 | 527 | 336 | 130 |
(2)观察散点图的趋势,如果能看成线性关系,请在图中画出一条直线来近似的表示这种关系,并计算豆类脂肪含量与热量的相关系数.
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
| 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | 30 | 40 | 50 | 60 |
(2)根据表中数据求出
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
(3)当这种商品的成交量突破100件(含100件)时,预测这家店铺的浏览量至少为多少.
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d053b14c8588eee2acbbe44fc37a6886.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/78729f52ff739c2f7e13d186eb1cb737.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f749bae1b9afebefadde3076ddfa4ad7.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/97ea8f47d8d8d9e1832d52b1c7425450.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/411a44b57e5fdbd6634f21a94144cfe2.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/43cf205139a811c10efe85fade50b44d.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4329ebf7cb25521ea46d9626b4cfe0ba.png)
![](https://img.xkw.com/dksih/QBM/editorImg/2023/7/11/dc661d9f-881c-442b-b6a2-4ddf249f039a.png?resizew=491)
![](https://img.xkw.com/dksih/QBM/editorImg/2023/7/11/720f6f94-14a3-4bf0-ac69-4149f742405c.png?resizew=313)
(1)请根据所给数据求出
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/9b0fffbec1fe851795dfdd448bf0d165.png)
(2)受到小李的鼓励,小王和小张决定在课后花更多的时间在数学学习上,小张把课后自主学习时间从20分钟增加到60分钟,而小王把课后自主学习时间从60分钟增加到100分钟.经过几个月的坚持,小张的数学成绩从50分提升到90分,但小王的数学成绩却只是从原来的100分提升到了115分.小王觉得很迷惑,课后学习时间每天同样增加了40分钟,为什么自己的成绩仅仅提升了十几分呢,为什么实际成绩跟预测的成绩差别那么大呢?
①请根据你对课后自主学习时间与数学成绩的关系的看法及对一元回归模型的理解,解答小王的疑惑;
②小李为了解答小王的疑惑,想办法拿到了上表中被污染的数据如下.据此,请在上图中补齐散点图,并给出一个合适的经验回归方程类型(不必求出具体方程,不必说明理由).
编号 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
x | 85 | 90 | 100 | 110 | 120 |
y | 113 | 114 | 117 | 119 | 119 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/c3fdfc8e7c65cd0198494cbf052f4e4e.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/e669676429e6f533d55b12a66fe8d5ff.png)