名校
1 . 第二次世界大战期间,了解德军坦克的生产能力对盟军具有非常重要的战略意义.已知德军的每辆坦克上都有一个按生产顺序从1开始的连续编号.假设德军某月生产的坦克总数为N,随机缴获该月生产的n辆(
)坦克的编号为
,
,…,
,记
,即缴获坦克中的最大编号.现考虑用概率统计的方法利用缴获的坦克编号信息估计总数N.
甲同学根据样本均值估计总体均值的思想,用
估计总体的均值,因此
,得
,故可用
作为N的估计.
乙同学对此提出异议,认为这种方法可能出现
的无意义结果.例如,当
,
时,若
,
,
,则
,此时
.
(1)当
,
时,求条件概率
;
(2)为了避免甲同学方法的缺点,乙同学提出直接用M作为N的估计值.当
,
时,求随机变量M的分布列和均值
;
(3)丙同学认为估计值的均值应稳定于实际值,但直观上可以发现
与N存在明确的大小关系,因此乙同学的方法也存在缺陷.请判断
与N的大小关系,并给出证明.
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/8a5e1bb2637455d05313a112c5d745bc.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/096b1ece1dcd29c59a46a4b3e02cb548.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/e5031a3a951c4a1d1c5e9f80a5e26513.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/93d0f3799612b81e85b87241ec8eee68.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/2dcf3400c1490071b390aaac0ad0e102.png)
甲同学根据样本均值估计总体均值的思想,用
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/afb1694f46c040a6c976b2ef3eb3934b.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/120e4da3fe22be28b3bb28f28fbcc862.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/92da09d5877d3dfe1a856b6353b81906.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/7b7171e0c9c26b9f39a32d3a61d113cf.png)
乙同学对此提出异议,认为这种方法可能出现
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b8a1bd336033c63bc9c4f99ff2b482b9.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/ebcc133d5b11b33a904875182d8c8261.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/be604061cf1591f7069472269d4c9719.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/c50a1cf3b1a6f9a12605cbdf48e5de5c.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/49bf4a59874878184dadeec74d1781d2.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/53722e8f43d44f9c611398ddaab151f3.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/afac93e0089a7ffca9a1f720e13b6878.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/de3874d2e8c49308151837161d7aa91c.png)
(1)当
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/ebcc133d5b11b33a904875182d8c8261.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/be604061cf1591f7069472269d4c9719.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/1b9b7c101f267bbf233da7d3ac30e6f0.png)
(2)为了避免甲同学方法的缺点,乙同学提出直接用M作为N的估计值.当
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/270e5f2895909d5b6b6c612a8696565b.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/fac3649308b528fd56545ba102dc42d5.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/348388b2590255369527f86fd6be63c3.png)
(3)丙同学认为估计值的均值应稳定于实际值,但直观上可以发现
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/348388b2590255369527f86fd6be63c3.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/348388b2590255369527f86fd6be63c3.png)
您最近一年使用:0次
2024-06-11更新
|
699次组卷
|
3卷引用:浙江省(杭州二中、绍兴一中、温州中学、金华一中、衢州二中)五校联考2024届高考数学模拟卷
2 . 对于给定的一个
位自然数
(其中
,
),称集合
为自然数
的子列集合,定义如下:
{
且
,使得
},比如:当
时,
.
(1)当
时,写出集合
;
(2)有限集合
的元素个数称为集合
的基数,一般用符号
来表示.
(ⅰ)已知
,试比较
大小关系;
(ⅱ)记函数
(其中
为
这
个数的一种顺序变换),并将能使
取到最小值的
记为
.当
时,求
的最小值,并写出所有满足条件的
.
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b6a24198bd04c29321ae5dc5a28fe421.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/c6be3d8ff4885ce8cf21ed3b7e4c9059.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/ff4ab89a62749697c6a67e4fe8e6f3c5.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/12b0e3b00fe47801afb53ec56706c21a.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/5123cae73867329882792f626287b970.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/81dea63b8ce3e51adf66cf7b9982a248.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d688a7cacda715fc5c2fad9a2adaddee.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/ab691edda624f588e85d493423b3e398.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/76fb6d4810762396e3fbe728687a0794.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/ba7a9e06bedb3aca590121cc47e64e52.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/e534ff8ca5451dce6629223e002d5878.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4d407ed5fd8a5fd413426fc1fc118422.png)
(1)当
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/eeaa1b4ec60977b69d48d3d023f5d731.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/5123cae73867329882792f626287b970.png)
(2)有限集合
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/5963abe8f421bd99a2aaa94831a951e9.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/5963abe8f421bd99a2aaa94831a951e9.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/cc8279d9dd0b7750953cb9e2098b3b90.png)
(ⅰ)已知
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b43ea4161df6e6178c26c524935af465.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b53fe2a5d83d2e3e97f3a49d1f845370.png)
(ⅱ)记函数
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/8a2a7d5abc0e14bf1da403fba5b27644.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/c558c7204d256c96b74b9c991c0e5c1d.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/086eb439f6a1578fdba904825340772d.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b6a24198bd04c29321ae5dc5a28fe421.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/aad1bf0868f56ad3bda73d4ca5851cb2.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/bbf91726683a3963e941231877c8c6ec.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/6e731e11a03c0f5d2768e87a3442634d.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/1c326b4a68d5148e8e5a5ebc15d3b132.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/aad1bf0868f56ad3bda73d4ca5851cb2.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/6e731e11a03c0f5d2768e87a3442634d.png)
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解题方法
3 . 二项分布是离散型随机变量重要的概率模型,在生活中被广泛应用.现在我们来研究二项分布的简单性质,若随机变量
.
(1)证明:(ⅰ)
(
,且
),其中
为组合数;
(ⅱ)随机变量
的数学期望
;
(2)一盒中有形状大小相同的4个白球和3个黑球,每次从中摸出一个球且不放回,直到摸到黑球为止,记事件A表示第二次摸球时首次摸到黑球,若将上述试验重复进行10次,记随机变量
表示事件A发生的次数,试探求
的值与随机变量
最有可能发生次数的大小关系.
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/870528aa6be6f56bae0eb6b10a765c02.png)
(1)证明:(ⅰ)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/2f7ea00923d9f3ccadd6d6186993836a.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/c9ef0a61e3c701a7cb3a9f9ca3c8dd37.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/53b4b3879d1c6debf0333008f686634e.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4fdea830c734212c9831f428918636e8.png)
(ⅱ)随机变量
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f022950e0faa45b617d497b01b5292b9.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/2bc4bd923f697154764599eb542e9d96.png)
(2)一盒中有形状大小相同的4个白球和3个黑球,每次从中摸出一个球且不放回,直到摸到黑球为止,记事件A表示第二次摸球时首次摸到黑球,若将上述试验重复进行10次,记随机变量
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/54a829fdd8ec0f3b7ede883cf2c3e53b.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/71701db4b413f2364dbcbd612fbc8a67.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/54a829fdd8ec0f3b7ede883cf2c3e53b.png)
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解题方法
4 . 已知直角梯形
,
,
,
,扇形圆心角
,
,如图,将
,
以及扇形
的面积分别记为![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/36477401af8ec19b82d682ab184753a2.png)
的表达式,并指出其大小关系(不需证明);
(2)用
表示梯形
的面积
;并证明:
;
(3)设
,
,试用代数计算比较
与
的大小.
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/411b38a18046fea8e9fab1f9f9b80a5f.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f571396be1aa4a8914a66f7d7abd6381.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/36572a10fcb483a9abb63a5039e09ec3.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/ced06b71073e1bb777f326f06016ce17.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/201339005285d682fbc2cf65fbabddd1.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4138f6987cd2ee9e56b2ac80e84f9e24.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d7ac5396c5ea442e0364b50c1db3d2da.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/15c0dbe3c080c4c4636c64803e5c1f76.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/23ba3f676fda6a2aaaa55c9f32874a51.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/36477401af8ec19b82d682ab184753a2.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/36477401af8ec19b82d682ab184753a2.png)
(2)用
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/1fec41d46ca97d3e900ef1db5a1f002c.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/411b38a18046fea8e9fab1f9f9b80a5f.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/e6cc4a85bbf152031dc8ebd182e44ead.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/be31dfad4f16cf1f2158b3011e3b68b9.png)
(3)设
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/22e8d7d33749979b7d7acc17532d86b2.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/c7787a01998f68ccc931c00ccb475f6c.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/3c1ba6b6ee00c4b2763cb3fa59caa69f.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f3bf4af3d4543cada4b52871ac9dfb1a.png)
您最近一年使用:0次
2023-07-09更新
|
604次组卷
|
6卷引用:上海市复旦大学附属中学2022-2023学年高一下学期期末数学试题
上海市复旦大学附属中学2022-2023学年高一下学期期末数学试题(已下线)高一上学期期末考试解答题压轴题50题专练-举一反三系列(已下线)6.2 常用三角公式-高一数学同步精品课堂(沪教版2020必修第二册)上海市华东师范大学第二附属中学2023-2024学年高一下学期3月月考试题(已下线)专题06 期末解答压轴题-《期末真题分类汇编》(上海专用)(已下线)专题04 三角-《期末真题分类汇编》(上海专用)