A.B与C 互斥 |
B.B与D 互斥 |
C.A与C 相互独立 |
D.A与D 相互独立 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/60d228f257b9239a34ad1af06a5a3868.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/585e3aaa8904e4f936ab0c6481c9cffc.png)
![](https://img.xkw.com/dksih/QBM/2023/7/3/3272946980192256/3274180389765120/STEM/95f34a4ccf8e48be9dbda0b0ce9e540a.png?resizew=214)
(1)求
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/0a6936d370d6a238a608ca56f87198de.png)
(2)现把
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/0243a3fcfb2c72758d081ce9b6ac4c4d.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/585e3aaa8904e4f936ab0c6481c9cffc.png)
3 . 近年来一个新型的赛制“双败赛制”赢得了许多赛事的青睐.传统的淘汰赛失败一场就丧失了冠军争夺的权利,而在双败赛制下,每人或者每个队伍只有失败了两场才会淘汰出局,因此更有容错率.假设最终进入到半决赛有四支队伍,淘汰赛制下会将他们四支队伍两两分组进行比赛,胜者进入到总决赛,总决赛的胜者即为最终的冠军.双败赛制下,两两分组,胜者进入到胜者组,败者进入到败者组,胜者组两个队伍对决的胜者将进入到总决赛,败者进入到败者组.之前进入到败者组的两个队伍对决的败者将直接淘汰,胜者将跟胜者组的败者对决,其中的胜者进入总决赛,最后总决赛的胜者即为冠军.双败赛制下会发现一个有意思的事情,在胜者组中的胜者只要输一场比赛即总决赛就无法拿到冠军,但是其它的队伍却有一次失败的机会,近年来从败者组杀上来拿到冠军的不在少数,因此很多人戏谑这个赛制对强者不公平,是否真的如此呢?这里我们简单研究一下两个赛制.假设四支队伍分别为,其中
对阵其他三个队伍获胜概率均为
,另外三支队伍彼此之间对阵时获胜概率均为
.最初分组时
同组,
同组.
(1)若
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/e74b0aa7a6f6dcab7d9101b98504ae2a.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/098a3e7d1f1890863b7483a98b618119.png)
(2)分别计算两种赛制下
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/5963abe8f421bd99a2aaa94831a951e9.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b1010846eeec6c9da29640f5aa3f8738.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/61128ab996360a038e6e64d82fcba004.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/882a6e8f86e28c2382ab50e2c8ab0c0c.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/366d02f85d55ee1188ed6e19c0ce0b91.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/c95b6be4554f03bf496092f1acdfbb89.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/e707a7bea901a3af6aef3cd43ac685e3.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/c95b6be4554f03bf496092f1acdfbb89.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/1aad0f4f7f47ac83100121fd7a2fa6e8.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/54211311a248816452f3a2036188b279.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/882a6e8f86e28c2382ab50e2c8ab0c0c.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/ba564f8149fb98ee50c4012f06708382.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/7ec5efba5a2b7fb879ffd79fcf73ff03.png)
(1)求乙同学得
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/366d02f85d55ee1188ed6e19c0ce0b91.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/e707a7bea901a3af6aef3cd43ac685e3.png)
(2)记
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f022950e0faa45b617d497b01b5292b9.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f022950e0faa45b617d497b01b5292b9.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/99a00777939345dd069ee71869fd48b6.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/e7245fedab11daebb38ddd2c79e9b302.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4ae7fb954b47cb67fdde891c3b9d8295.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/6c4d7a9a52cf0a371b23464a9a5be9ff.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/43890bece2ecd3f7ff7c1b854611028c.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f598628541edf1dc7475606e837016df.png)
(1)若
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/38cdf9deb3bb50ec6fcac5395c33f5ee.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f598628541edf1dc7475606e837016df.png)
(2)记事件A为“比赛继续进行下去乙赢得全部奖金”,试求当
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/3d96a62b3a4e98e84a7ea9089b072236.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/060d9334136396f95e9dcd328486f9d2.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d033a5031cc07dd282b07b0633252518.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4d01dd350dc95f42f1883e0cc7aae084.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/e8d02ea8c4988c5c28ab93f0d70fb55a.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/fbbecbd7e92dcbe1766462fcf40066de.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/9ef414095084c4c5eb3be5b73e719b44.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d91e07104b699c4012be2d26160976a2.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/5ca7d1107389675d32b56ec097464c14.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/5ca7d1107389675d32b56ec097464c14.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/9ef414095084c4c5eb3be5b73e719b44.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/84783b6ba0f36789519816101a437f46.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/5ca7d1107389675d32b56ec097464c14.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/c95b6be4554f03bf496092f1acdfbb89.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/2b1dcdac71e394e495d069f64e1f1ce9.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/61128ab996360a038e6e64d82fcba004.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/bdaa19de263700a15fcf213d64a8cd57.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/bf31876698721a199c7c53c6b320aa86.png)
(1)如果甲、乙两队比赛
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/bdaa19de263700a15fcf213d64a8cd57.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f022950e0faa45b617d497b01b5292b9.png)
(2)如果甲、乙两队约定比赛
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/61128ab996360a038e6e64d82fcba004.png)
A.两次都从甲箱取球时“成功”的概率最大 |
B.两次都从乙箱取球时“成功”的概率最大 |
C.先从甲箱取球再从乙箱取球时“成功”的概率最大 |
D.先从乙箱取球再从甲箱取球时“成功"”的概率最大 |
锻炼项目(早上,晚上) | (羽毛球,休息) | (休息,羽毛球) | (休息,休息) | (羽毛球,羽毛球) |
甲 | 10天 | 10天 | 5天 | 5天 |
乙 | 8天 | 7天 | 5天 | 10天 |
(1)在过去的30天内任取一天,求甲同学在这一天中参加了羽毛球活动的概率;
(2)只考虑早上和晚上参加体育锻炼活动的情况,且早上和晚上都参加体育锻炼活动视为参加了2次锻炼,求甲、乙两位同学在一天中参加锻炼的次数之和为2的概率.
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4dac452fbb5ef6dd653e7fbbef639484.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d33adb74906403b0b00fcbd9fa691d8b.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/56d266a04f3dc7483eddbc26c5e487db.png)
A.![]() | B.![]() | C.![]() | D.![]() |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/2b1dcdac71e394e495d069f64e1f1ce9.png)