1 . 某排球教练带领甲、乙两名排球主力运动员训练排球的接球与传球,首先由教练第一次传球给甲、乙中的某位运动员,然后该运动员再传回教练.每次教练接球后按下列规律传球:若教练上一次是传给某运动员,则这次有的概率再传给该运动员,有
的概率传给另一位运动员.已知教练第一次传给了甲运动员,且教练第
次传球传给甲运动员的概率为
.
(1)求
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/adad9633b73dfbbb3d84b4f15979e99e.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/87b21b872313f7d8c5b606981f954a1e.png)
(2)求
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/3ffb021aa7d5a5c2f0691e337caad624.png)
(3)设
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/9e4f333edad039c5c879218b5c815cae.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/a133513458bd3ecec0b759575cdc6b82.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/bdaa19de263700a15fcf213d64a8cd57.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b6a24198bd04c29321ae5dc5a28fe421.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/96abfe2da27a63e6affb19a0c80236d9.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/5e7df0430db8db9fc354ffdd038fb432.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/0c996a43ff8843aec0be0a9d0ac0e9ea.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/daa5e9bd516f6282483b92cfe6074623.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/83cf38189d5cbf627d2b82ac0eb76006.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b6a24198bd04c29321ae5dc5a28fe421.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/08eb71ecf8d733b6932f4680874dbbf3.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/bdaa19de263700a15fcf213d64a8cd57.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/61128ab996360a038e6e64d82fcba004.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/5ca7d1107389675d32b56ec097464c14.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/5ca7d1107389675d32b56ec097464c14.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b8860d9787671b53b1ab68b3d526f5ca.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/6f8c4c029e552954bd493b49aeab82d5.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b8860d9787671b53b1ab68b3d526f5ca.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d91e07104b699c4012be2d26160976a2.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d07ae0b4264da6a8812454ffd2f20d94.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d07ae0b4264da6a8812454ffd2f20d94.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d91e07104b699c4012be2d26160976a2.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/daa5e9bd516f6282483b92cfe6074623.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/034ba25825c13725931c483aa47c9363.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/034ba25825c13725931c483aa47c9363.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b6a24198bd04c29321ae5dc5a28fe421.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f1ae9a3b0b7aeb1545b65d91aa371b3c.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/38eec2adafdf745ca8ad514469549abb.png)
A.![]() | B.![]() ![]() ![]() |
C.![]() | D.![]() |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/33b447ac3d1a965572c31b6e4c18d4b8.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/46d5d836cacd4fd16a4919a91e9efaba.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/7ae463200d075fcec1738869a38b992e.png)
(2)由(1)的判断结果及表中数据,求出y关于x的回归方程.(计算结果精确到0.1)
附:回归方程中
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/929ef3bed0a4bdd22f39e036506dc481.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/3ac81db4d6a73ba8994c2a5a2c5f56b4.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/cec5f29cac1f0340ecae12821bcf7e36.png)
参考数据( | |||||
5215 | 17713 | 714 | 27 | 81.3 | 3.6 |
在每年价格不变,无虫害的情况下,某果园年产值为200万元,根据以上数据,以得到最高收益(收益=产值-防害费用)为目标,请为果农从以下几个方案中推荐最佳防害方案,并说明理由.
方案1:选择防害措施A,可以防止各种气温的红蜘蛛虫害不减产,费用是18万;
方案2:选择防害措施B,可以防治22℃至28℃的蜘蛛虫害,但无法防治28℃以上的红蜘蛛虫害,费用是10万;
方案3:不采取防虫害措施.
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/65d9d0d66a7f8fc34082cf8c45f64839.png)
数学成绩优秀 | 数学成绩不优秀 | 合计 | |
经常整理 | |||
不经常整理 | |||
合计 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/294f5ba74cdf695fc9a8a8e52f421328.png)
(2)根据图1、图2中的数据,补全上方
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/7b72fcdc709e77910cd36a26369648b3.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/ead9d6ff51996f3ebace6f212e11a9e4.png)
(3)用频率估计概率,在全市中学生中按“经常整理错题”与“不经常整理错题”进行分层抽样,随机抽取5名学生,再从这5名学生中随机抽取2人进行座谈.求这2名同学中经常整理错题且数学成绩优秀的人数X的分布列和数学期望.
附:
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/3599e8452732f75172651d838f31856d.png)
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
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5 . 2022年11月20日,卡塔尔足球世界杯正式开幕,世界杯上的中国元素随处可见.从体育场建设到电力保障,从赛场内的裁判到赛场外的吉祥物都是中国制造,为卡塔尔世界杯提供了强有力的支持.国内也再次掀起足球热潮.某地足球协会组建球队参加业余比赛,该足球队教练组为了考查球员甲对球队的贡献,作出如下数据统计(甲参加过的比赛均分出了输赢):
球队输球 | 球队赢球 | 总计 | |
甲参加 | 2 | 30 | 32 |
甲未参加 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
总计 | 10 | 40 | 50 |
(1)根据小概率值
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/0255cd2084765f7019367ff6e575b9d6.png)
(2)从该球队中任选一人,A表示事件“选中的球员参赛”,B表示事件“球队输球”.
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/1b9dd9ec374dde193b156db6e20e15d8.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b502b4caafbff9503e4303b72bdfe647.png)
①证明:;
②利用球员甲数据统计,给出,
的估计值,并求出R的估计值.
附:.
参考数据:
a | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.005 | 0.001 |
3.841 | 6.635 | 7.879 | 10.828 |
下表是2022年卡塔尔世界杯淘汰赛阶段的比赛结果:
淘汰赛 | 比赛结果 | 淘汰赛 | 比赛结果 |
1/8决赛 | 荷兰 | 1/4决赛 | 克罗地亚 |
阿根廷 | 荷兰 | ||
法国 | 摩洛哥 | ||
英格兰 | 英格兰 | ||
日本 | 半决赛 | 阿根廷 | |
巴西 | 法国 | ||
摩洛哥 | 季军赛 | 克罗地亚 | |
葡萄牙 | 决赛 | 阿根廷 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b0ca63121721f04e5d11d50981b434e3.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/1272772701f275330396cac433ebf6d7.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/a98801b948916ee309a370d34bf6e2b0.png)
(1)请根据上表估计在世界杯淘汰赛阶段通过点球大战分出胜负的概率.
(2)根据题意填写下面的
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/7b72fcdc709e77910cd36a26369648b3.png)
欧洲球队 | 其他球队 | 合计 | |
闯入8强 | |||
未闯入8强 | |||
合计 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/bf31876698721a199c7c53c6b320aa86.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/3ab4c80aa3d7d480e3b260384edd3e0b.png)
参考公式:
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/a2648096e6f02304dc2fa9863b4f95b3.png)
0.1 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.005 | 0.001 | |
2.706 | 3.841 | 6.635 | 7.879 | 10.828 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4dac452fbb5ef6dd653e7fbbef639484.png)
A.四支球队的积分总和可能为15分 |
B.甲队胜3场且乙队胜1场的概率为![]() |
C.可能会出现三支球队积分相同且和第四支球队积分不同的情况 |
D.丙队在输了第一场的情况下,其积分仍超过其余三支球队的积分的概率为![]() |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f022950e0faa45b617d497b01b5292b9.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d7d532f084b593d561a7abeb89bfad2f.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/df64046e91b047037f19e4032e3b6de3.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/f022950e0faa45b617d497b01b5292b9.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/d2fbc50f7031c4d2d077af2841162889.png)
(1)证明离散型切比雪夫不等式;
(2)应用以上结论,回答下面问题:已知正整数
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/db796f5d87921011d78dc31a5e232ee0.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b6a24198bd04c29321ae5dc5a28fe421.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/987e30395d91964ebd0395faf2f66600.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4b4181519b1c9cddcc8b0b61ebab10fd.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/8ac93cf1e63f91ac62a00b6f06b96056.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/12444d6e8d3b097a9d090e6ed06042e4.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b6a24198bd04c29321ae5dc5a28fe421.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/2c05b9832b09731a574d4a4adf7448de.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/6f95e54a9b7c66c97dc6ee6161a25c0e.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/249d36fe8ffcd6121eb4327494ccc0ed.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/b6a24198bd04c29321ae5dc5a28fe421.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/3e843825d93c9576cc9ef7e361f08977.png)
附:可能用到的公式(数学期望的线性性质):对于离散型随机变量
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/c3fece0aa8ca77534c82e6ef1ab55ac1.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/65befa89f21ca7e5703a65cb93ada6a3.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/a2b51ce8c473e265e64cd1aa5071fc5f.png)
A.18 | B.30 | C.36 | D.54 |
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/58f76a9590cd60f2a7e1a52b34ba2891.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/71999cec6647d7516172fa29dceafd32.png)
(1)试根据生产一件零件A给工厂带来的效益的期望值判断甲乙技术的好坏;
(2)为鼓励工人提高技术,工厂进行技术大赛,最后甲乙两人进入了决赛.决赛规则是:每一轮比赛,甲乙各生产一件零件A,如果一方生产的零件A品级优干另一方生产的零件,则该方得分1分,另一方得分-1分,如果两人生产的零件A品级一样,则两方都不得分,当一方总分为4分时,比赛结束,该方获胜.Pi+4(i=
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4b700fa9aeb1016aa71f76e4b6bb212e.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4b700fa9aeb1016aa71f76e4b6bb212e.png)
![](https://staticzujuan.xkw.com/quesimg/Upload/formula/4b700fa9aeb1016aa71f76e4b6bb212e.png)
①写出P0,P8的值;
②求决赛甲获胜的概率.